INSIGHTS AND DOCUMENTS

UPDATES FROM THE FINANCIAL WORLD

Global View

The AI Value Shift: Navigating Scarcity, Software Squeeze, and Global Bifurcation

The semiconductor ecosystem, particularly high-performance memory, remains the most attractive area for capital as structural supply...

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ZOOMING OUT FROM THE SHORT-TERM VOLATILITY

The recent pullback in stock markets, combined with the steady improvement in EPS forecasts, has brought stock valuations close to their...

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NAVIGATING PRIVATE CREDIT

Private credit as an asset class has grown to approximately $3 trillion, diven by post-Global Financial Crisis bank retrenchment adn strong...

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Hormuz Chokepoint Hits Global Markets

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the war in Iran caused the largest disruption ever in oil supplies, triggering a surge in prices...

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TARIFFS: BACK IN THE LIMELIGHT

The U.S. Supreme Court's 6-3 decision on February 20 invalidated the sweeping "reciprocal" tariffs and emergency declarations applied to major trading partners under IEEPA on April 2, 2025. Within hours, the White House invoked Section 122 to impose a flat surcharge on most US imports

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Developed Markets Equity: Q4.2025 Earnings Season

As of this writing, 66% of companies in the US, 45% in Europe, and 88% in Japan have reported earnings. Overall, earnings growth is tracking above consensus expectations. Reported EPS growth stands at +12% YoY in the US and +4% YoY in Europe, implying EPS surprise factors of +7% and +3%,...

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HAWKISH SURPRISE?

Last Friday, President Trump announced the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair, pending confirmation by the Senate. As customary, Trump once again surprised the market with this nomination, as Warsh was arguably one of the (apparently) less dovish candidates among the list of...

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GEOPOLITICS MESSING (or interfering?) WITH MACROECONOMICS

In the first weeks of 2026, financial markets continued their relentless advance, which is now entering its fourth year. Markets continue to be buoyed by abundant liquidity, which has been expanding once again since the Federal Reserve resumed purchasing $40 trillion worth of T- bills per month...